{"id":21301,"date":"2025-12-02T10:14:01","date_gmt":"2025-12-02T09:14:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/i3-cnrs.fr\/evenement\/cerna-research-seminar-with-jeanne-astier-crest-polytechnique-geoffrey-barrows-crest-polytechnique-raphael-calel-georgetown-u\/"},"modified":"2026-10-13T09:27:43","modified_gmt":"2026-10-13T08:27:43","slug":"cerna-research-seminar-with-jeanne-astier-crest-polytechnique-geoffrey-barrows-crest-polytechnique-raphael-calel-georgetown-u","status":"publish","type":"tribe_events","link":"https:\/\/i3-cnrs.fr\/en\/evenement\/cerna-research-seminar-with-jeanne-astier-crest-polytechnique-geoffrey-barrows-crest-polytechnique-raphael-calel-georgetown-u\/","title":{"rendered":"CERNA Research Seminar with Jeanne Astier (CREST &#8211; Polytechnique), Geoffrey Barrows (CREST &#8211; Polytechnique), Raphael Calel (Georgetown U)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Quantifying Climate Damages When Regions Trade: A Structural Gravity Approach<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">(joint with Jeanne Astier (CREST &#8211; Polytechnique), Geoffrey Barrows (CREST &#8211; Polytechnique), Raphael Calel (Georgetown U)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><em>This paper presents a method for estimating treatment effects of local climate shocks when regions trade with each other. Because of spillovers induced by trade flows, comparing the evolution of outcomes between pre-shock and post-shock periods in regions exposed versus unexposed to local shocks leads to a biased estimate of treatment effect. We model these across-region dependencies using standard assumptions from international trade theory. We use our model-consistent estimation strategy to revisit the literature on the evaluation of impacts from climate change onto country-sector gross output using year-to-year variation in temperature and counterfactual scenarios where the observed warming from 1991 to 2019 would not have occurred or considering future\u00a0warming predictions.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">There will be an opportunity to schedule individual meetings and\/or join lunch\/dinner with H\u00e9l\u00e8ne before the seminar.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Please enter your preferred time slot <a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1gLdNyza81HXbjZFsmOOdwOsuzuVTmued\/edit?pli=1&amp;gid=2005043267#gid=2005043267\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Quantifying Climate Damages When Regions Trade: A Structural Gravity Approach<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":21099,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_tribe_events_status":"","_tribe_events_status_reason":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"tribe_events_cat":[160],"class_list":["post-21301","tribe_events","type-tribe_events","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tribe_events_cat-seminaires-en","cat_seminaires-en","entry","has-media"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/i3-cnrs.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events\/21301","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/i3-cnrs.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/i3-cnrs.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/tribe_events"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/i3-cnrs.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/i3-cnrs.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events\/21301\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/i3-cnrs.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21099"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/i3-cnrs.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21301"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/i3-cnrs.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21301"},{"taxonomy":"tribe_events_cat","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/i3-cnrs.fr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tribe_events_cat?post=21301"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}